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Tuesday, July 26, 2016

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Trump has changed the overall foreign policy of the US for the first time, many Baltic states those not paying their share will not get defense support from NATO. It gives an edge to Russia to encroach into any Baltic states. Most probably Trump is going to be the most friendly President for Russia, and the question is whether Putin will attend Trump's oath taking ceremony! None can deny the possibility!!!
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In Egypt, the authorities detain many opponents without any genuine reason and without any access to legal remedy or to their family members. They are forcefully abducted and detained. Sometimes the human right violation is justified to save the state.
 
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The Olympic games may suffer another jolt, in Rio de Janeiro the crisis deepens as the police force refuses to commit security of the guests and the top players. The force is not paid for many months. Demoralized force is a threat to the civilians and the nation.
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The South China sea is now a boiling point as all neighbors who are trying to douse fire  to save the relationship. Belligerent China is still not willing to abide by the ruling of the world body. The demand for natural resources to feed the upcoming industries to generate more jobs and the water shortage may lead to a limited war in this region.

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The US-Turkey relationship may hurt as Turkey demands the exiled cleric for trial. Turkey suspects his hand behind the latest coup.
But, the Russian role in the coup cannot be ruled out as the attack on the Russian fighter planes during Syrian raid and Turkey's refusal to apologize have already invited Russa's wrath. Now Russia is safe from the west and any interference in the Balkan region, many new explosion in the Europe is coming up to shake many cities and they will be busy in rescue and damage control while Russia can easily control their old neighbors and former cousins. This is the best strategy most probably will work to tame the NATO-led west.

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Turkey has declared the state emergency. The army and the authorities are trying to cull the mole from the route system, but the 9000 loss of men in the army may weaken its present capacity . Unfriendly neighbors like Syria and Russia are still a matter of concern for the present regime. Turkey has survived the Arabian spring, but the spring of coup and radicalism may take the present regime very soon.

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